Jared Diamond, a noted polymath, is Professor of Geography at the University of California, Los Angeles. Among his many awards are the U.S. National Medal of Science, Japan’s Cosmos Prize, a MacArthur Foundation Fellowship, a Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction, and election to the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. He is the author of the international best-selling books Guns, Germs, and Steel, Collapse, Why Is Sex Fun?, The World until Yesterday, and The Third Chimpanzee, and is the presenter of TV documentary series based on three of those books.
In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
##危机处理的框架对于深度分析作用其实不是很大,更像一本专栏合集。也许是期待太高吧。
评分 评分 评分 评分 评分 评分##作者对中国的解读不知道是停留在哪个年代,难以认同,拿出的优劣对比之处早已发生改变。尤其”the biggest single disadvantage that will prevent China from ever catching up with the U.S. in average income per person—as long as the U.S. remains democratic and China remains non-democratic.” 不论哪种体制,最终还是得看最高决策人的水平;另,感谢美帝披着外衣的『民主』,不然不会有川某上台,天天给娱乐新闻加料。期待美帝将民主进行到底!
评分##类比个人对危机应对,以此为框架看国家的危机应对,听起来有点民科但却也确实带来不少洞见。分析的例子中,有国内大家较为熟悉的如日本明治维新、德国二战后重建与两德统一,也有至少我个人不熟悉的如芬兰与苏联的冬季战争、澳大利亚的身份认同危机、智利的军政府政变等,还是很涨见识的。全书最后谈当下美国所面临的危机也顺便讨论了与中国的冲突,可惜局限于美国视角只能讲一些老生常谈的点,像贫富差距、左右党争之类,若是能站在中国的角度写当下的危机应该会有意思得多吧。当今朝廷强调“底线思维”,算是抛弃了幻想,做着最坏的打算最好的准备;按照书中框架衡量,这样是否真能做到承担责任,明确问题,准确评估自我,且保有足够耐心,就只能在多年后由历史评述了。
评分##这本书我原本是很期待的,毕竟作者之前的名气在那,然后也看到多方称赞,上了很多书单推荐。然而,我看了之后,非常失望。盛名之下其实难副。 这本书在我看来总共就3个模块,第一模块用他的分析模型分析了几个国家的发展,在这个分析的过程中,可以看到作者很明显的倾向:美化...
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