具体描述
In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
用户评价
##应对危机的12个建议： 承认危机 接受解决危机的责任 确定危机的边界 求助外界 借鉴榜样 自我力量/国家凝聚力 诚实地自我评估 应对危机的经验 耐心 灵活性 核心价值观 个人约束/国家地缘限制
##Very insightful book. Jared老爷子的书真的是没话说，希望每个对现代史感兴趣的人都读一读。前半部分扫盲，后半部分从新的角度分析国际问题，其中美中比较很有意思，关于展望世界的部分有些cliche，but still a great book in general！ 另外，虽然老爷子在后记中提到自己数据和样本的稀缺性，但整本书很多问题的解释都是“according my friend”，难免让人觉得难以信服（但人家毕竟是Jared Diamond，他的朋友的可信度肯定是很大的…）唉，我要是在这个年龄也能看过世界变迁，往来无白丁，也算不枉走一遭了～
##国家危机的状况解释和背景分析等都很不错，可作者一心想要把归纳总结历史事件当作社会科学来做定量分析这点难以接受，还一直说数据找变量，作为生理学家的基本素养呢？不过作者估计也不是正统的搞科学的，不然也不会写这么多文化相关的书。
##华沙一跪的Willy Brandt，出过大丑闻。他本身就有强烈的Socialist倾向，身边重要幕僚还是东德间谍，并且还陷入过性丑闻（美人计间谍）。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI还是跪舔华约，值得讨论。
##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa🌊 as cover.
##这本书从个人的crisis出发，谈了国家层面的crisis，讲这个国家发生的历史，它的优势劣势，再按照factors related to the outcomes of national crises来谈论各个国家遇到的危机，我感觉历史的内容和很多角度都非常新颖。例如其中提到的geopolitical factor使得一些国家不可避免卷入争斗中。他对几个社会的问题的提出也很有总结性，我觉得Jared Diamond的书还是要边看边做笔记，因为信息量很大，而框架性又比较强，所以还是适合有笔记帮助自己理解这本书。这本书也是值得再读的。
##《剧变》
##危机处理的框架对于深度分析作用其实不是很大，更像一本专栏合集。也许是期待太高吧。
##《剧变》