In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
评分##非常应景的一本书。一位80+睿智老者,结合自身经历、见闻和研究,娓娓道来国家应如何应对危机。开篇以如何处理个人危机为例,讲了危机处理的几个步骤,很重要的一个点是:确立危机的边界。不要一个方面出现问题,误以为全线崩溃。接着以作者孰知/会当地语言的六国近代史为例,各个国家又是如何从国家角度化解危机。比较熟悉的日本明治维新,不常读到的芬兰、智利、印尼三国的近现代史令人耳目一新。以及德国的自我审判、自我反思也很有意思,包括他们六十年代不成功的学生运动成功推动了原本爹气十足的社会民主开明化。最后分析美国优势和存在问题,如政治两极化,预测其、日本和世界未来的危机会出现在哪里。还涉及到“伟人”能从多大程度影响历史进程。未来的世界危机,除了常见的议题能源短缺、气候变化、核危机、不平等...还有:传染病
评分##语言表达力、笔力很一般。史料老生常谈。谈发展趋势和应对,谈剧变,居然还在翻6、70年代的旧帐,对于软件技术、网络应用普及、IT业对世界形势的影响居然提都不提?也难怪,作者说了他不会用电脑...
评分不愧是Jared Diamond,以独到新颖的角度,用个人类比国家以此更形象深刻地理解危机的概念和影响,并用12个与危机产生结果有关的因素构成的框架很全面深入地剖析7个国家和全世界遭遇的不同危机和相应应对措施,预示未来潜在的危机,提议更严谨详细的量化研究和通过对历史经验的学习更好地应对危机,叙述通俗易懂诙谐幽默;第9章对美国的剖析中涉及到与中国的比较将两国的优缺点都列举出来,国内若引进估计不会完整保留。
评分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
评分##One strong feeling is that having the form of countries as today, it seems inherent to have a world full of conflicts; ps, wish we can also have a similar self-reflection...pps, would't it be the case that emphasizing national identity may lead to nationalism?
评分##应对危机的12个建议: 承认危机 接受解决危机的责任 确定危机的边界 求助外界 借鉴榜样 自我力量/国家凝聚力 诚实地自我评估 应对危机的经验 耐心 灵活性 核心价值观 个人约束/国家地缘限制
评分##非常应景的一本书。一位80+睿智老者,结合自身经历、见闻和研究,娓娓道来国家应如何应对危机。开篇以如何处理个人危机为例,讲了危机处理的几个步骤,很重要的一个点是:确立危机的边界。不要一个方面出现问题,误以为全线崩溃。接着以作者孰知/会当地语言的六国近代史为例,各个国家又是如何从国家角度化解危机。比较熟悉的日本明治维新,不常读到的芬兰、智利、印尼三国的近现代史令人耳目一新。以及德国的自我审判、自我反思也很有意思,包括他们六十年代不成功的学生运动成功推动了原本爹气十足的社会民主开明化。最后分析美国优势和存在问题,如政治两极化,预测其、日本和世界未来的危机会出现在哪里。还涉及到“伟人”能从多大程度影响历史进程。未来的世界危机,除了常见的议题能源短缺、气候变化、核危机、不平等...还有:传染病
评分##芬兰的经验是乌克兰应该汲取的 后几章没什么意思 3.5
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