具体描述
Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights.
Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses:
What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade
Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk
How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns
Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.
用户评价
##好书，但是我们无法像作者一样做彻底的全球主义者
评分##微博看到兰小欢推荐，看到了友邻的翻译版
评分##"Preferences are optional and subject to constraints, whereas constraints are neither optional nor subject to preferences" 用词比较难读，各种吹自己过去反market consensus & had made the right call……
评分##库斯图里卡版的塔勒布那种感觉
评分##库斯图里卡版的塔勒布那种感觉
评分地缘政治与宏观经济趋势。“From the above decade trends, I concluded that treating politics and geopolitics as an externality to markets made no sense.” 嘲讽开启，笑死。第二章长篇分析中国时有点准。后面关于 a Multipolar World 的论断也有意思，反我刻板逻辑。总之，因为别人推荐所以囫囵吞枣扫了一遍自己能看懂的部分，还是觉得力所未能及。“Falsehood flies, but truth comes limping after.”
评分##既要分析约束，也要观察互动，而互动总是充斥误解和曲解。作者对俄罗斯开战的分析踢到铁板，多半就是观察互动时失焦了。值得多读几次。
评分##"Preferences are optional and subject to constraints, whereas constraints are neither optional nor subject to preferences." "Life is full of sacrifices, a product of constraints." Preference is about exploring inside, while constraints is about looking at the outside. I have to do both.
评分##"Preferences are optional and subject to constraints, whereas constraints are neither optional nor subject to preferences" 用词比较难读，各种吹自己过去反market consensus & had made the right call……
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