From the #1 New York Times bestselling author of Principles and legendary investor Ray Dalio, who has spent half a century studying global markets, The Changing World Order examines history’s most turbulent economic and political periods to reveal why the times ahead will likely be radically different from those we’ve experienced in our lifetimes.
##越讀越喪
##不差錢的人往往會追求不朽,哪怕是精神上的不朽。比爾·蓋茨的公益,瑞·達利歐的免費書都有點兒這意思。上本《債務危機》的 pdf 放在官網上免費給大傢下載,這本《不斷變化的世界秩序》更是直接在官網連載。明擺著寫這些書就不為瞭錢,隻圖身後名(當然還有一種可能,是忽悠投資者買自己的基金,或跟著做多中國,給基金抬轎子)。一路用榖歌翻譯追更,終於趕在中信的和諧版上市前補上瞭最後一章。按瑞的分析,中國取代美國,成為地球一哥的趨勢已成,很難逆轉,而且經濟戰開始十年左右必有熱戰。很難想象兩個核大國如何開戰,隻能坐等瑞老爺子封神或者打臉瞭。
##越讀越喪
##Ray Dalio,獵豹級的instinct。通常Dalio的書語言都很淺顯,為擴大讀者base,給齣自己的預警和者建議可謂不遺餘力。這本書的齣版想必艱難,因為這是一個非常婉轉但assertive的寓言故事,前麵80%的篇幅都是在為最後的預測做鋪墊 -- 美國將在2025 / 2026因Formosa問題與中國産生正麵衝突,且美國將在五年內進入recession。中美沒有全麵戰爭的基礎,但軍事摩擦不可避免,也無法快速消解。其實書中也隱晦錶達瞭美國金毛再度當選的可能性。這些預測,都很準確。
##中間幾度差點放棄,最終聽到中國,以及中美之間關係的時候纔真的有興趣的連續聽完。整體而言,這本書更像是經濟史書加注釋,劃分成周期性階段,所以很多時候讀起來有些枯燥。 後麵的部分可能是因為剛好跟最近很多情況關聯比較大,所以感覺見解還是挺深刻的。總的來說,這本比較大局觀,並不會讓你有多具體的收獲,但是會有潛移默化的影響。但是dalio書有點囉嗦……
##學貫中西大概就是這樣子瞭吧
##Never thought china’s history line can be told by a foreigner cleanly and concisely, Some part of the book can not be published in China , always the right choice to read the original one. I am fond of my country and hope younger one can relate to it. Give huge credit to the author for his broad and depth understanding and accumulations
##http://fan.fo/GaWwM 在綫看
##Never thought china’s history line can be told by a foreigner cleanly and concisely, Some part of the book can not be published in China , always the right choice to read the original one. I am fond of my country and hope younger one can relate to it. Give huge credit to the author for his broad and depth understanding and accumulations