The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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到时候住酒店的时候和前台说清楚住几天，因为帮你们定的时候是到28日，你们要去热带风暴，所以住到27离店

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那你什么面对面的吗很好 很不错 非常满意的，，，，，，，

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看过前一版的，但升级版不知怎样

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很好！纸张和包装都不错，物流超快！有待慢慢品读。

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买来吃灰

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书脊破损，包装随意。

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一直在京东采购书籍，京东的服务很不错，书的种类也很全面，很棒

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非常满意的一本图书，真的是不错。

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为什么是升级版呢？

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