The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝]

The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

Nassim Nicholas Taleb(納西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布) 著
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齣版社: Random House
ISBN:9780812973815
商品編碼:19016952
包裝:平裝
叢書名: Incerto
齣版時間:2010-05-11
用紙:膠版紙
頁數:480
正文語種:英文
商品尺寸:21.84x11.43x2.54cm

具體描述

編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

用戶評價

評分

非常值得一讀!

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最後麵粘在一起爛瞭好幾頁

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不錯不錯,值得擁有

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這本書難得打摺,送貨快!

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這本書難得打摺,送貨快!

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好書寶寶喜歡很好寶寶喜歡很好寶寶喜歡很好寶寶喜歡

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奇怪的名字,感覺有點牽強,不知道何時都開始硬套這種動物名稱瞭,有意義麼?我看未必。

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包裝不好,打開有碰撞

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拿到手快遞已經被拆過瞭,還好隻是幾本書,要是其他東西該怎麼處理??

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