Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
[感谢朋友的讨论,我回复了一些,并把其中的一些重要内容增补进来。] Dalio的历史学是简单直白的,很容易让人(特别是中国人)接受:大国崛起,兴衰交替。虽然他在一些地方也给自己留了一些台阶,说历史有不确定性,但整体给人的印象就是一种历史主义的,偏向决定论的看法。这...
评分 评分 评分 评分##时至今日,所有关于趋势的论述都不能脱离历史数据的演绎,在长周期内寻找锚点一直以来都是考证某种观点的必然途径,所有一切的发展都是有迹可循的,现在发生的某段进程都很可能是过去某段进程在不同阶段的重复和体现,可能只有细节不同而已。 为什么要在长周期内探讨很多问题的...
评分这是一本去年由同事推荐的书。本来不想在电脑上看网页版,但是因为kindle版本迟迟不出,最后I sucked it up and read the web version here: [https://www.principles.com/the-changing-world-order/] 总的来说,这是一本很值得一看的书,特别是对于想了解currency system, his...
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